seedcorn
Garden Master
1) Ag does use a lot of oil products. So are we to drop everything that uses lots of oil? How about John Q Citizen? How much energy (really what we're talking about now) does each household misuse? Do they really need 2+ cars(make people use bikes, walk, horses like they did in 40's), TV's, gas powered mowers, snowblowers, 4 wheelers, tillers, etc???Rosalind said:seedcorn, here is what I worry about, the sort of thing that keeps me and DH up at night: You know a LOT of modern ag is dependent on cheap oil. Oil to run the tractors, oil to make the fertilizers, oil to make the pesticide. Lotsa oil. Cheap oil tends to come from insane despots where terrorists are their #2 export, like Saudi Arabia.
There are other sources of oil, but even the petroleum company experts say it will take a few decades to build the specialized refineries required to process the different types of oil (heavy sour & tar sand oil is more difficult to process than light sweet). Converting coal to diesel is possible, but it's going to take a loooooong time to build enough commercial-scale refineries that can do that process in order to re-supply what we use today. And it is dirty, it produces a lot of mercury waste (the mercury is mostly, but not completely redistilled), and as many West Virginian towns can tell you, the slurry and slag that results from extraction is hazardous in its own right--creates mudslides, poisons the water. You can throw all the money you want at building specialized refineries, but it doesn't magically make them faster to build.
Politically, can we afford to hand over increasing amounts of money to states that are known to create, foster and supply terrorists? Is it wise to allow such complete control of the US economy to rest in the hands of a monarchy that is, arguably, off its rocker? All they have to do to reduce us to developing-world status is to jack the prices, which they can do arbitrarily whenever they feel like it. Which they have done in the recent past, more than once, and they don't much care who is in the White House when they do it.
The only reason they don't do it now is because they're a bit busy feuding with the Russian Mafia's plan to build a NG pipeline. The day that China (who now has most of our nice middle-class jobs) decides to outbid us as OPEC's #1 customer, is the day our modern food system cracks.
It's not that I want that to happen, I realize lots of people would end up starving. It's that I worry that it WILL happen, regardless of what you or I want.
2) China is already outbidding USA for key products. Personnally, I'd only allow meat products to be exported from USA in Ag.
3) Ag will change as the economics of the industry changes. The end user controlls how we do business. As an input gets out of control, changes will be met. As the end uses pays for what they want, Ag will change.
4) Regardless what is preached by a few uninformed, there is more genetic diversity in modern Ag. You the consumer don't see them because in some cases they aren't viable now but they may be in future so the genetics are propogated.
Look, I get it, you want things like you think they were in the 40's. What you don't think about is the poverty, hunger, diseases from bad nutrients, etc we had.
Some of you love to quote a certain pair of people that say you can't eat corn but my folks were raised on corn for b'fast as well as other meals. That was a basic food group through the 50's. Still is in central america.